Emmy Re-Do: 2015


COMEDY SERIES
Louie (FX) – Season 5
Modern Family (ABC) – Season 6
Parks and Recreation (NBC) – Season 7
Silicon Valley (HBO) – Season 2
Transparent (Prime Video) – Season 1
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix) – Season 1
Veep (HBO) – Season 4

Should have won: Silicon Valley
Not even nominated: Community (Yahoo! Screen)

Veep was certainly the most ruthless comedy on TV at the time, and the final run with Armando Ianucci at the helm was spectacular. (That it thrived in its later seasons under a showrunner with wildly different sensibilities is a discussion for another time.) But as you know if you’ve been reading these columns over the years, I like to spread the love. At this point Silicon Valley is frankly underrated. Though it was critically acclaimed, did well enough ratings-wise to earn seven seasons, and racked up a lot of Emmy nominations, it never won anything. It almost seems like science fiction, since its final season imagined a world where tech bros actually put the needs of society over their own bank accounts. And this second season – which focused on the legal battle between the guys and Gavin – is where it took the leap. It ended with one of the most nail-biting finales ever committed to screen.

It’s still a miracle we got a sixth season of Community, but bless Yahoo! for deciding to piss away millions of dollars on a streaming platform no one used (except for me, and only to watch this show). That it lost two regular and two recurring cast members, only to turn out its best season since before Dan Harmon was fired, is even more of a miracle. Obviously if one of the four major broadcast networks ignored it for almost its entire run, no also-ran streamer had a prayer. But it absolutely deserved more recognition, even in a stacked line-up.


COMEDY ACTOR
Anthony Anderson, black-ish (“Sex, Lies and Vasectomies”)
Don Cheadle, House of Lies (“It’s a Box Inside a Box Inside a Box, Dipshit!”)
Louis C.K., Louie (“Bobby’s House”)
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth (“Alive in Tucson”)
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes (“Episode Five”)
William H. Macy, Shameless (“A Night to Remem… Wait, What?”)
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent (“The Letting Go”)

Should have won: Well…
Not even nominated: Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Transparent was an often wonderful, thoughtful show about deeply flawed people that hopefully taught cis people about trans people. That’s a beautiful thing. But there are a lot of problems here, starting with a cis actor playing a trans character. Not ideal. Then there are the many incidents of misconduct that led to Tambor’s dismissal from the show. Not the kind of person you want to be rewarding. But I won’t take this award away from him for two reasons: 1. He’s marvelous in the show, especially in his submitted episode, where he comes out to his eldest daughter. 2. Tambor should have already had one (if not two) Emmys for The Larry Sanders Show (and Arrested Development).

So let’s put in a good guy playing a good guy for a little balance. Somehow in an ensemble as rich as Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Andre Braugher was the only one to get nominated (and he never won!). So let’s give some flowers to Andy Samberg, who had to be the straight man, the goofball, or the romantic lead, depending on the scene. As solid as the ensemble is, if Jake comes off as a jerk, the show doesn’t work.


COMEDY ACTRESS
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie (“I Say a Little Prayer”)
Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback (“Valerie Is Taken Seriously”)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep (“Election Night”)
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation (“One Last Ride”)
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer (“Cool with It”)
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie (“The Vows”)

Should have won: Lisa Kudrow
Not even nominated: Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie

Julia Louis-Dreyfus was on her fourth win for Selina Meyer, so I’m turning a loser into a winner. I’m talking of course about Valerie Cherish, the wonderfully pathetic star of The Comeback. Perfectly played by Lisa Kudrow, this belated second season finds her star sort-of ascending again after the writer of her failed sitcom begins production on a prestige TV series about his struggles with addiction, with Valerie playing herself. It’s extremely meta and extremely cringy, but absolutely hilarious.

Like another pair I’ll get to later, it just seems wrong to nominate one half but not the other. While Tomlin was certainly the wackier of the titular duo, Fonda certainly earned plenty of big laughs herself, even while she could often be the curmudgeon.

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2025 Emmy Predictions: Drama


DRAMA SERIES
Andor (Disney+)
The Diplomat (Netflix)
The Last of Us (HBO)
Paradise (Hulu)
The Pitt (Max)
Severance (AppleTV+)
Slow Horses (AppleTV+)
The White Lotus (HBO)

Will win: Severance
Could win: The Pitt
Should win: Andor 
Should have been nominated: Evil (Paramount+)


ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown, Paradise
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Adam Scott, Severance
Noah Wyle, The Pitt

Will and should win: Noah Wyle
Could win: Adam Scott
Should have been nominated: Michael Fassbender, The Agency


ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Kathy Bates, Matlock
Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters
Britt Lower, Severance
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat

Will and should win: Bella Ramsey
Could win: Kathy Bates
Should have been nominated: Katja Herbers, Evil

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2025 Emmy Predictions: Comedy, Variety, and Talk


COMEDY SERIES
Abbott Elementary (ABC)
The Bear (Hulu)
Hacks (Max)
Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
Shrinking (AppleTV+)
The Studio (AppleTV+)
What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

Will win: The Studio
Could win: Hacks
Should win: What We Do in the Shadows 
Should have been nominated: The Rehearsal (HBO)


ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This
Seth Rogen, The Studio
Jason Segel, Shrinking
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Will win: Seth Rogen
Could win: Jeremy Allen White
Should win: Martin Short
Should have been nominated: Nathan Fielder, The Rehearsal


ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Uzo Aduba, The Residence
Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
Jean Smart, Hacks

Will win: Jean Smart
Could win: Ayo Edebiri
Should win: Quinta Brunson
Should have been nominated: Edi Patterson, The Righteous Gemstones

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2025 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series and Movies


LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES
Adolescence (Netflix)
Black Mirror (Netflix)
Dying for Sex (Hulu)
Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
The Penguin (HBO)

Will and should win: Adolescence
Could win: The Penguin
Should have been nominated: Say Nothing (Hulu)


ACTOR IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Colin Farrell, The Penguin
Stephen Graham, Adolescence
Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent
Brian Tyree Henry, Dope Thief
Cooper Koch, Monsters

Will win: Colin Farrell
Could and should win: Stephen Graham
Should have been nominated: Jimmy O. Yang, Interior Chinatown


ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer
Meghann Fahy, Sirens
Rashida Jones, Black Mirror
Cristin Milioti, The Penguin
Michelle Williams, Dying for Sex

Will win: Michelle Williams
Could win: Cristin Milioti
Should win: Meghann Fahy
Should have been nominated: Lola Petticrew, Say Nothing

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2025 Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts

 


VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
Adam Sandler: Love You (Netflix)
Ali Wong: Single Lady (Netflix)
Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years (Hulu)
Conan O’Brien: The Kennedy Center Mark Twain Prize for American Comedy (Netflix)
Sarah Silverman: Postmortem (Netflix)
Your Friend, Nate Bargatze (Netflix)

Will win: Sarah Silverman: Postmortem
Could win: Your Friend, Nate Bargatze
Should win: Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years
Should have been nominated: Cunk on Life (Netflix)


TV MOVIE
Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (Peacock)
The Gorge (AppleTV+)
Mountainhead (HBO)
Nonnas (Netflix)
Rebel Ridge (Netflix)

Will win: Mountainhead
Could win: Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy
Should win: Rebel Ridge
Should have been nominated: It’s What’s Inside (Netflix)
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2025 Emmy Picks: Drama


DRAMA SERIES
Andor (Disney+)
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
The Last of Us (HBO)
Paradise (Hulu)
The Pitt (Max)
Severance (AppleTV+)
Squid Game (Netflix)
The White Lotus (HBO)

Potential surprises:
The Diplomat (Netflix) – never nominated
House of the Dragon (HBO) – 1 nomination
Slow Horses (AppleTV+) – 1 nomination
Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light (PBS) – 1 nomination for Limited Series
Yellowjackets (Showtime) – 2 nominations

Ineligible: 3 Body Problem, The Crown, Fallout, The Gilded Age, The Morning Show, Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Shōgun

In my dreams: Evil (Paramount+)


ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown, Paradise
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Adam Scott, Severance
Noah Wyle, The Pitt

Potential surprises:
Diego Luna, Andor – never nominated
Jeff Bridges, The Old Man – 1 nomination
Jon Hamm, Your Friends and Neighbors – new show
Lee Jung-jae, Squid Game – 1 win
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light – 1 nomination for Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Ineligible: Idris Elba, Donald Glover, Walton Goggins, Hiroyuki Sanada, Dominic West

In my dreams: Michael Fassbender, The Agency


ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Britt Lower, Severance
Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets
Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat

Potential surprises:
Kathy Bates, Matlock – new show
Nicola Coughlan, Bridgerton – never nominated
Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters – 1 nomination
Nicole Kidman, The Perfect Couple – new show
Keira Knightley, Black Doves – new show

Ineligible: Jennifer Aniston, Carrie Coon, Maya Erskine, Anna Sawai, Imelda Staunton, Reese Witherspoon

In my dreams: Katja Herbers, Evil

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2025 Emmy Picks: Comedy


COMEDY SERIES
Abbott Elementary (ABC)
The Bear (Hulu)
The Four Seasons (Netflix)
Hacks (Max)
Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
The Studio (AppleTV+)
What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

Potential surprises:
Étoile (Prime Video) – new show
The Righteous Gemstones (HBO) – never nominated
Shrinking (AppleTV+) – never nominated

Ineligible: Curb Your Enthusiasm, Palm Royale, Reservation Dogs

In my dreams: The Rehearsal (HBO)


ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
Seth Rogen, The Studio
Jason Segel, Shrinking
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Potential surprises:
Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows – 1 nomination
Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This – new show
Steve Carell, The Four Seasons – new show
Ted Danson, A Man on the Inside – new show
Kayvan Novak, What We Do in the Shadows – never nominated

Ineligible: Larry David, D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai

In my dreams: Nathan Fielder, The Rehearsal  


ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face
Jean Smart, Hacks

Potential surprises:
Uzo Aduba, The Residence – new show
Natasia Demetriou, What We Do in the Shadows – never nominated
Tina Fey, The Four Seasons – new show
Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building – 1 nomination
Kathryn Hahn, Agatha All Along – new show

Ineligible: Maya Rudolph, Kristen Wiig

In my dreams: Edi Patterson, The Righteous Gemstones

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2025 Emmy Picks: Limited/Anthology Series and Movies


LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES
Adolescence (Netflix)
Black Mirror (Netflix)
Dying for Sex (Hulu)
Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
The Penguin (HBO)

Potential surprises:
American Primeval (Netflix)
Disclaimer (AppleTV+)
Presumed Innocent (AppleTV+)

In my dreams: Say Nothing (Hulu)


MOVIE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Another Simple Favor (Prime Video)
Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (Peacock)
Mountainhead (HBO)
Rebel Ridge (Netflix)
The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Hulu)

Potential surprises:
The Gorge (AppleTV+)
Nonnas (Netflix)
O’Dessa (Hulu)
Out of My Mind (Disney+)

In my dreams: It’s What’s Inside (Netflix)


ACTOR IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE
Nicholas Alexander Chavez, Monsters
Colin Farrell, The Penguin
Paul Giamatti, Black Mirror
Stephen Graham, Adolescence
Cooper Koch, Monsters

Potential surprises:
Steve Carell, Mountainhead
Colman Domingo, The Madness
Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent
Brian Tyree Henry, Dope Thief
Kevin Kline, Disclaimer

In my dreams: Jimmy O. Yang, Interior Chinatown 


ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR MOVIE
Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer
Meghann Fahy, Sirens
Cristin Milioti, The Penguin
Amanda Seyfried, Long Bright River
Michelle Williams, Dying for Sex

Potential surprises:
Uzo Aduba, The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat
Viola Davis, G20
Kaitlyn Dever, Apple Cider Vinegar
Ari Graynor, Monsters  
Rashida Jones, Black Mirror
Sarah Paulson, Hold Your Breath
Ellen Pompeo, Good American Family
Natalie Portman, Lady in the Lake
Renée Zellweger, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy

In my dreams: Lola Petticrew, Say Nothing

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2025 Emmy Picks: Variety/Talk and Guest Acting

Potential surprises: N/A

Ineligible: N/A

In my dreams: After Midnight (CBS) 


VARIETY SPECIAL (LIVE)
The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show (Fox)
Beyoncé Bowl (Netflix)
The Oscars (ABC)
SNL50: The Anniversary Special (NBC)
77th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)
 
Potential surprises:
The 67th Grammy Awards (CBS)
FireAid: A Benefit Concert for Wildlife Relief
SNL50: The Homecoming Concert (Peacock)
 
In my dreams: N/A


VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years (Hulu)
Closing Ceremony Olympic Handover: Countdown to LA28 (NBC)
An Evening with Elton John & Brandi Carlisle (Disney+)
Hannah Einbinder: Everything Must Go (Max)
A Nonsense Christmas with Sabrina Carpenter (Netflix)
 
Potential surprises:
Adam Sandler: Love You (Netflix)
Ali Wong: Single Lady (Netflix)
Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life (Max)
Jerrod Carmichael: Don’t Be Gay (Max)
The Lion King at the Hollywood Bowl (Disney+)
Mike Birbiglia: The Good Life (Netflix)
Sarah Silverman: Postmortem (Netflix)
Your Friend, Nate Bargatze (Netflix)
 
In my dreams: Cunk on Life (Netflix)

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TALK SERIES
The Daily Show (Comedy Central)
Everybody’s Live with John Mulaney (Netflix)
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS)

Potential surprises:
Hot Ones (YouTube) – never nominated
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) – 12 nominations
Late Night with Seth Meyers (NBC) – 3 nominations
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC) – 3 nominations

Ineligible: N/A

In my dreams: Have I Got News for You (CNN) 


SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
Saturday Night Live (NBC)

Potential surprises: N/A

Ineligible: N/A

In my dreams: After Midnight (CBS) 


VARIETY SPECIAL (LIVE)
The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show (Fox)
Beyoncé Bowl (Netflix)
The Oscars (ABC)
SNL50: The Anniversary Special (NBC)
77th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)
 
Potential surprises:
The 67th Grammy Awards (CBS)
FireAid: A Benefit Concert for Wildlife Relief
SNL50: The Homecoming Concert (Peacock)
 
In my dreams: N/A


VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years (Hulu)
Closing Ceremony Olympic Handover: Countdown to LA28 (NBC)
An Evening with Elton John & Brandi Carlisle (Disney+)
Hannah Einbinder: Everything Must Go (Max)
A Nonsense Christmas with Sabrina Carpenter (Netflix)
 
Potential surprises:
Adam Sandler: Love You (Netflix)
Ali Wong: Single Lady (Netflix)
Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life (Max)
Jerrod Carmichael: Don’t Be Gay (Max)
The Lion King at the Hollywood Bowl (Disney+)
Mike Birbiglia: The Good Life (Netflix)
Sarah Silverman: Postmortem (Netflix)
Your Friend, Nate Bargatze (Netflix)
 
In my dreams: Cunk on Life (Netflix)

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20 After 20: 2004

Tom Hanks and Barry Shabaka Henley in "The Terminal"

20. The Terminal (dir. Steven Spielberg)
Maybe it’s a little naïve. Maybe it’s a little (Capra) corny. But in an era where immigrants of all backgrounds and statuses are demonized, this is a pleasantly compassionate dramedy about people just trying to live their lives while our absurdly complex laws try to grind them down.

Ascending the Siula Grande in "Touching the Void"

19. Touching the Void (dir. Kevin Macdonald)
One of the most riveting documentaries ever made, Touching the Void recreates the harrowing experiences of Joe Simpson and Simon Yates. In 1985, the pair set out to summit the west face of the Siula Grande, which hasn’t been climbed for good reason. When the stormy descent threatens both their lives, Yates makes a gut-wrenching decision. The aftermath has to be seen to be believed.

Bryce Dallas Howard in "The Village"

18. The Village (dir. M. Night Shyamalan)
It loses some points for Adrien Brody’s committed but borderline offensive performance. But this is an otherwise lovingly realized fable about courage and cowardice, brought to life with some incredible performances, breathtaking cinematography, and James Newton Howard’s best score.

The Plastics in "Mean Girls"

17. Mean Girls (dir. Mark Waters)
Is this the best high school movie of the decade? It’s certainly in the conversation, enduring after all the quotes, memes, adaptations, and remakes. Dissecting the cliques that can make the high school experience terrible or bearable, Tina Fey’s sharp script nails the pressure of navigating different social circles, while never forgetting this is first and foremost a comedy. It also has a sneaky great ensemble, all of whom perfectly play their often stupid characters.

The team in "Friday Night Lights"

16. Friday Night Lights (dir. Peter Berg)
Far and away Pete Berg’s best film as a director, this adaptation of Buzz Bissinger’s seminal nonfiction book set the template for the great TV show that followed. Taken on its own merits, it delivers thrilling football action and high dramatic stakes. Leading it all is Billy Bob Thornton in a rare, restrained performance. Even if you hate how sports is treated like religion in Texas, it’s impossible not to hold your breath when a Hail Mary goes up while Explosions in the Sky plays on the soundtrack.

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