20
Dec

Oscar Picks: December 2025

We finally have a little bit of clarity, as most of the critics’ groups and some of the bigger precursors have unveiled their nominees. But it still feels like One Battle After Another is in pole position, even after its backlash and good-but-not-great box office.


BEST PICTURE
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Frankenstein
Hamnet
It Was Just an Accident
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Train Dreams

Falling off: Jay Kelly, Wicked: For Good
Rising star: Bugonia

The skinny: Netflix was never going to have more than two films in this race, and it looks like Train Dreams is picking up steam (pun sort of intended) while Jay Kelly is yesterday’s news. Speaking of which, if Wicked: For Good can’t pick up a nod in the Golden Globes Musical or Comedy category – with six slots, no less – there’s no way in hell it’s making it here. Bugonia will likely have to settle for Actress and Adapted Screenplay nods, but it is hitting streaming at just the right time to surge into the race.


BEST DIRECTOR
Chloé Zhao, Hamnet
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value
Ryan Coogler, Sinners

Falling off: None
Rising star: Guillermo Del Toro, Frankenstein

The skinny: This feels like our five, unless Sentimental Value is on shakier ground than I thought.


BEST ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon
Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

Falling off: George Clooney, Dwayne Johnson
Rising star: Joel Edgerton, Train Dreams

The skinny: Chalamet is on a charm offensive the likes of which we’ve never seen. And losing Best Actor last year is all part of it. But Clooney and the Rock falling out of the final five is great news for Ethan Hawke (who should have more nods) and Michael B. Jordan (who’s never gotten one). This could be an all-timer lineup after more than a decade of lackluster winners.


BEST ACTRESS
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee
Emma Stone, Bugonia

Falling off: Cynthia Erivo, Jennifer Lawrence
Rising star: Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another

The skinny: There’s only room for so many grieving mothers, so out goes Jennifer Lawrence (despite giving the best performance of her career). But that means we’ve got a hell of a showdown between Jessie Buckley and Rose Byrne. And if One Battle After Another continues to dominate, the Oscars might get a chance to show an ingenue some love by giving some much-deserved recognition to Chase Infiniti.

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11
Dec

Best Songs of the Decade… So Far

As I’ve mentioned before, I’ve all but forsaken keeping up with new music. Sure, I’ll check out a band a friend recommends or listen to the latest release by some of my favorite artists. But by and large, it’s not part of my regular music consumption anymore. But there were still plenty of great songs released since January 2020 (oh, what simpler times). Here are my 100 favorites. You can listen to this entire playlist on Spotify.

The 1975 – “About You”
Adele – “Love Is a Game”
Alvvays – “Belinda Says”
Fiona Apple – “For Her”
Julien Baker – “Bloodshot”
Beyoncé – “Break My Soul”
The Blessed Madonna feat. Uffie – “Serotonin Moonbeams”
Blood Orange feat. The Durutti Column, Tariq Al-Sabir, Caroline Polachek, and Daniel Caesar – “The Field”
boygenius – “Not Strong Enough”
Phoebe Bridgers – “I Know the End”
Leon Bridges feat. Terrace Martin – “Sweeter”
Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves – “I Remember Everything”
BTS – “Butter”
Bullion feat. Carly Rae Jepsen – “Rare”
Bully – “Days Move Slow”
Cardi B feat. Megan Thee Stallion – “WAP”
Sabrina Carpenter – “House Tour”
Charli xcx – “360”
Lucy Dacus – “Thumbs”
Deafheaven – “Great Mass of Color”
Dexter and the Moonrocks – “Cry”
Bob Dylan – “Murder Most Foul”
Billie Eilish – “Birds of a Feather”
Everything but the Girl – “Nothing Left to Lose”
Father John Misty – “Screamland”
Florence + the Machine – “Sympathy Magic”
Margaret Glaspy – “Act Natural”
Ludwig Göransson – “Turning Red”
Kyle Gordon – “Ugliest Girl on the Beach”
HAIM – “Summer Girl”
Brittany Howard – “Prove It to You”
Japanese Breakfast – “Be Sweet”
Cassandra Jenkins – “Hard Drive”
Carly Rae Jepsen – “This Is What They Say”
Jordana – “Like a Dog”
Noah Kahan – “Stick Season”
Khruangbin feat. Leon Bridges – “B-Side”
Killers – “Dying Breed”
Ben Kweller – “Optimystic”
Steve Lacy – “Bad Habit”
Lady Gaga – “Stupid Love”
Kendrick Lamar – “Not Like Us”
Laufey – “Silver Lining”
LCD Soundsystem – “New Body Rhumba”
MJ Lenderman – “You Are Every Girl to Me”
Lil Yachty feat. Diana Gordon – “Drive Me Crazy!”
Lizzo – “About Damn Time”
Lorde – “What Was That”
Magdalena Bay – “Death & Romance”
The Magnetic Fields – The Day the Politicians Died
Steve Martin – “Which of the Pickwick Triplets Did It?”
John Mayer – “Last Train Home”
Brian Metolius – “Robert Dyas (The Funky Range of Our Christmas Gifts)”
Cristin Milioti – “715 Creeks”
Kacey Musgraves – “Easier Said”
NewJeans – “Super Shy”
Noname – “Rainforest”
Genesis Owusu – “Leaving the Light”
Caroline Polachek – “Welcome to My Island”
Pusha T – “Diet Coke”
Addison Rae – “Diet Pepsi”
David Ramirez – “I Wanna Live in Your Bedroom”
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross – “Match Point”
RMR – “Rascal”
Chappell Roan – “Good Luck, Babe!”
Olivia Rodrigo – “Deja Vu”
Run the Jewels – “Walking in the Snow”
RXKHNephew – “American tterroristt”
Silk Sonic – “Leave the Door Open”
Smile – “Wall of Eyes”
Snail Mail – “Valentine”
Soccer Mommy – “Shotgun”
Sparks feat. Adam Driver, Marion Cotillard, and Simon Helberg – “So May We Start”
Spoon – “Wild”
St. Vincent – “Flea”
Sufjan Stevens – “Will Anybody Ever Love Me?”
Bartees Strange – “Mustang”
Sun Kil Moon – “All the Artists Live in L.A.”
Taylor Swift feat. Bon Iver – “Exile”
T-Pain feat. Yaeji and Girl Talk – “Believe in Ya”
Kae Tempest feat. Kevin Abstract – “More Pressure”
Thee Sacred Souls – “Running Away”
Thundercat – “Dragonball Durag”
Tinashe feat. Wax Motif – “Undo (Back to My Heart)”
Trombone Shorty – “Come Back”
Yves Tumor – “Gospel for a New Century”
Turnstile – “Look Out for Me”
Tyler, the Creator – “Wilshire”
Vandoliers – “Life Behind Bars”
Vesta – “I Am a Fire”
Joshua Ray Walker – “Christmas in Dallas”
The War on Drugs feat. Lucius – “I Don’t Live Here Anymore”
Jessie Ware – “Spotlight”
Waxahatchee feat. MJ Lenderman – “Right Back to It”
The Weather Station – “Neon Signs”
Tierra Whack – “Dolly”
Hayley Williams – “True Believer”
Willow feat. Travis Barker – “Transparent Soul”
Lola Young – “Messy”
Yuno – “Somebody”

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16
Nov

Oscar Picks: November 2025

It’s been a weird year. A lot of films pegged as contenders early on have been met with shrugs. There hasn’t been a single runaway contender yet. Even One Battle After Another and Hamnet have their detractors. So who’s in at this point? Read on, but I’m sure it will change next month.


BEST PICTURE
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Frankenstein
Hamnet
It Was Just an Accident
Jay Kelly
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Wicked: For Good

The skinny: Though it won’t be the most financially successful or the most universally acclaimed film to make the final list, One Battle After Another still feels like the one to beat. It’s got the scope, the timeliness, the great acting, the clever writing, and the “it’s time” narrative for director Paul Thomas Anderson.


BEST DIRECTOR
Chloé Zhao, Hamnet
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just an Accident
Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value
Ryan Coogler, Sinners

The skinny: This could easily be the most international line-up this category has ever had, as PTA and Coogler are the only American-born filmmakers in the bunch. For the latter – as well as Panahi and Trier – these nominations are long overdue.


BEST ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme
George Clooney, Jay Kelly
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine
Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

The skinny: What’s this? A category with mostly honest-to-god movie stars in it?! Chalamet and Clooney will go on a charm offensive that hasn’t been seen here for years, while DiCaprio and Johnson will hit the circuit to show how much work they put into their roles. That fifth slot may go to Cannes winner Wagner Moura, though he certainly has competition from Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) and Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere).


BEST ACTRESS
Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: For Good
Jennifer Lawrence, Die My Love
Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee
Emma Stone, Bugonia

The skinny: This is a damn good line-up, featuring some extremely challenging performances. If Wicked: For Good doesn’t have quite as much acclaim, box office, and goodwill as its predecessor, Erivo may find herself swapped with Rose Byrne for If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (my personal favorite).

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13
Oct

The List: Top 10 ‘Saturday Night Live’ Sketches

This may have been my most foolish endeavor yet. How do you possibly distill 50 years of comedy greatness (and a lot of crap) into a top 10 list? You can’t do it. While I could have made a more idiosyncratic list of just my favorite sketches, it feels like a major oversight to ignore some of the show’s most popular moments. So I tried to balance the two, even if it meant cutting personal favorites like “Puppet Class” and “Kiss Me I’m Irish.” (My favorite performer, Bill Hader, is well-represented on this list already.) Besides, I tend to prefer my sketches brief, dark, and not filled with celebrity cameos or impersonations, which is not really what the show is about.

So I’ve given a spotlight to some great sketches that for one reason or another have been scrubbed from the internet (though I’d give the Instagram account @snlreelz a follow). And I’ve listed my top 10 commercial parodies (in alphabetical order) before getting to the list proper. I’ve also included links where applicable

SPECIAL COMMENDATION – 5 Great Sketches You Can’t Find Online


“Halftime Motivation” with Peyton Manning (aired 3/24/2007)
Though you can find a few snippets of the joyous absurdity on display, there seems to be no full version of this sublimely silly sketch. Will Forte tries to motivate his team – who have gotten their asses kicked in the first half – with a song that will pump them up and raise their spirits, only to deliver a freewheeling dance to a ridiculous instrumental. His goofy moves even got Kenan Thompson to break.


“Love Is a Dream” (aired 1988)
There aren’t really any laughs to be had in this lovely short film. But it’s still one to admire for its surprising production values and sweetness. Now that its stars have both passed, it takes on added resonance.


“Make ’em Laugh” (Opening Monologue) with Joseph Gordon-Levitt (aired 11/21/2009)
A young star performing a song in lieu of a traditional monologue is old hat at this point. It’s usually a pretty weak tune that you’re begging to be over quickly. But at the height of his fame, JGL instead paid tribute to Donald O’Connor’s all-timer number from Singin’ in the Rain. Music rights surely keep this from being available widely, but it deserves to be as famous as Tom Holland’s performance of “Umbrella” on Lip Sync Battle.


“New York City Stories, Part 2” (aired 10/7/2006)
The less said about this short’s siblings with Amy Poehler as Yoko Ono and Rosie Perez, the better. But this one, with Poehler as Patti Smith and Fred Armisen as Lou Reed mourning the closing of CBGB, is hilarious and wildly specific. When Reed says he saw Iggy Pop take a swing at a cop’s horse, you believe him.


“Victims of Recession” with Anne Hathaway (aired 10/4/2008)
While an edited version of this can be found on the show’s official YouTube page, you can’t find the original, which I watched live. That’s because it was “too mean” to some of the real architects of the subprime mortgage crisis. All future versions had that part cut out. That’s one of a long line of cowardly decisions by Lorne Michaels, but the sketch itself still goes after bigger cowards like President George W. Bush and Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

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14
Sep

Emmy Re-Do: 2015


COMEDY SERIES
Louie (FX) – Season 5
Modern Family (ABC) – Season 6
Parks and Recreation (NBC) – Season 7
Silicon Valley (HBO) – Season 2
Transparent (Prime Video) – Season 1
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix) – Season 1
Veep (HBO) – Season 4

Should have won: Silicon Valley
Not even nominated: Community (Yahoo! Screen)

Veep was certainly the most ruthless comedy on TV at the time, and the final run with Armando Ianucci at the helm was spectacular. (That it thrived in its later seasons under a showrunner with wildly different sensibilities is a discussion for another time.) But as you know if you’ve been reading these columns over the years, I like to spread the love. At this point Silicon Valley is frankly underrated. Though it was critically acclaimed, did well enough ratings-wise to earn seven seasons, and racked up a lot of Emmy nominations, it never won anything. It almost seems like science fiction, since its final season imagined a world where tech bros actually put the needs of society over their own bank accounts. And this second season – which focused on the legal battle between the guys and Gavin – is where it took the leap. It ended with one of the most nail-biting finales ever committed to screen.

It’s still a miracle we got a sixth season of Community, but bless Yahoo! for deciding to piss away millions of dollars on a streaming platform no one used (except for me, and only to watch this show). That it lost two regular and two recurring cast members, only to turn out its best season since before Dan Harmon was fired, is even more of a miracle. Obviously if one of the four major broadcast networks ignored it for almost its entire run, no also-ran streamer had a prayer. But it absolutely deserved more recognition, even in a stacked line-up.


COMEDY ACTOR
Anthony Anderson, black-ish (“Sex, Lies and Vasectomies”)
Don Cheadle, House of Lies (“It’s a Box Inside a Box Inside a Box, Dipshit!”)
Louis C.K., Louie (“Bobby’s House”)
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth (“Alive in Tucson”)
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes (“Episode Five”)
William H. Macy, Shameless (“A Night to Remem… Wait, What?”)
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent (“The Letting Go”)

Should have won: Well…
Not even nominated: Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Transparent was an often wonderful, thoughtful show about deeply flawed people that hopefully taught cis people about trans people. That’s a beautiful thing. But there are a lot of problems here, starting with a cis actor playing a trans character. Not ideal. Then there are the many incidents of misconduct that led to Tambor’s dismissal from the show. Not the kind of person you want to be rewarding. But I won’t take this award away from him for two reasons: 1. He’s marvelous in the show, especially in his submitted episode, where he comes out to his eldest daughter. 2. Tambor should have already had one (if not two) Emmys for The Larry Sanders Show (and Arrested Development).

So let’s put in a good guy playing a good guy for a little balance. Somehow in an ensemble as rich as Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Andre Braugher was the only one to get nominated (and he never won!). So let’s give some flowers to Andy Samberg, who had to be the straight man, the goofball, or the romantic lead, depending on the scene. As solid as the ensemble is, if Jake comes off as a jerk, the show doesn’t work.


COMEDY ACTRESS
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie (“I Say a Little Prayer”)
Lisa Kudrow, The Comeback (“Valerie Is Taken Seriously”)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep (“Election Night”)
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation (“One Last Ride”)
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer (“Cool with It”)
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie (“The Vows”)

Should have won: Lisa Kudrow
Not even nominated: Jane Fonda, Grace and Frankie

Julia Louis-Dreyfus was on her fourth win for Selina Meyer, so I’m turning a loser into a winner. I’m talking of course about Valerie Cherish, the wonderfully pathetic star of The Comeback. Perfectly played by Lisa Kudrow, this belated second season finds her star sort-of ascending again after the writer of her failed sitcom begins production on a prestige TV series about his struggles with addiction, with Valerie playing herself. It’s extremely meta and extremely cringy, but absolutely hilarious.

Like another pair I’ll get to later, it just seems wrong to nominate one half but not the other. While Tomlin was certainly the wackier of the titular duo, Fonda certainly earned plenty of big laughs herself, even while she could often be the curmudgeon.

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12
Sep

2025 Emmy Predictions: Drama


DRAMA SERIES
Andor (Disney+)
The Diplomat (Netflix)
The Last of Us (HBO)
Paradise (Hulu)
The Pitt (Max)
Severance (AppleTV+)
Slow Horses (AppleTV+)
The White Lotus (HBO)

Will win: Severance
Could win: The Pitt
Should win: Andor 
Should have been nominated: Evil (Paramount+)


ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown, Paradise
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Adam Scott, Severance
Noah Wyle, The Pitt

Will and should win: Noah Wyle
Could win: Adam Scott
Should have been nominated: Michael Fassbender, The Agency


ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Kathy Bates, Matlock
Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters
Britt Lower, Severance
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat

Will and should win: Bella Ramsey
Could win: Kathy Bates
Should have been nominated: Katja Herbers, Evil

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11
Sep

2025 Emmy Predictions: Comedy, Variety, and Talk


COMEDY SERIES
Abbott Elementary (ABC)
The Bear (Hulu)
Hacks (Max)
Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
Shrinking (AppleTV+)
The Studio (AppleTV+)
What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

Will win: The Studio
Could win: Hacks
Should win: What We Do in the Shadows 
Should have been nominated: The Rehearsal (HBO)


ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This
Seth Rogen, The Studio
Jason Segel, Shrinking
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Will win: Seth Rogen
Could win: Jeremy Allen White
Should win: Martin Short
Should have been nominated: Nathan Fielder, The Rehearsal


ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Uzo Aduba, The Residence
Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
Jean Smart, Hacks

Will win: Jean Smart
Could win: Ayo Edebiri
Should win: Quinta Brunson
Should have been nominated: Edi Patterson, The Righteous Gemstones

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10
Sep

2025 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series and Movies


LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES
Adolescence (Netflix)
Black Mirror (Netflix)
Dying for Sex (Hulu)
Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
The Penguin (HBO)

Will and should win: Adolescence
Could win: The Penguin
Should have been nominated: Say Nothing (Hulu)


ACTOR IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Colin Farrell, The Penguin
Stephen Graham, Adolescence
Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent
Brian Tyree Henry, Dope Thief
Cooper Koch, Monsters

Will win: Colin Farrell
Could and should win: Stephen Graham
Should have been nominated: Jimmy O. Yang, Interior Chinatown


ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer
Meghann Fahy, Sirens
Rashida Jones, Black Mirror
Cristin Milioti, The Penguin
Michelle Williams, Dying for Sex

Will win: Michelle Williams
Could win: Cristin Milioti
Should win: Meghann Fahy
Should have been nominated: Lola Petticrew, Say Nothing

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5
Sep

2025 Emmy Predictions: Creative Arts

 


VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
Adam Sandler: Love You (Netflix)
Ali Wong: Single Lady (Netflix)
Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years (Hulu)
Conan O’Brien: The Kennedy Center Mark Twain Prize for American Comedy (Netflix)
Sarah Silverman: Postmortem (Netflix)
Your Friend, Nate Bargatze (Netflix)

Will win: Sarah Silverman: Postmortem
Could win: Your Friend, Nate Bargatze
Should win: Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years
Should have been nominated: Cunk on Life (Netflix)


TV MOVIE
Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (Peacock)
The Gorge (AppleTV+)
Mountainhead (HBO)
Nonnas (Netflix)
Rebel Ridge (Netflix)

Will win: Mountainhead
Could win: Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy
Should win: Rebel Ridge
Should have been nominated: It’s What’s Inside (Netflix)
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11
Jul

2025 Emmy Picks: Drama


DRAMA SERIES
Andor (Disney+)
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
The Last of Us (HBO)
Paradise (Hulu)
The Pitt (Max)
Severance (AppleTV+)
Squid Game (Netflix)
The White Lotus (HBO)

Potential surprises:
The Diplomat (Netflix) – never nominated
House of the Dragon (HBO) – 1 nomination
Slow Horses (AppleTV+) – 1 nomination
Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light (PBS) – 1 nomination for Limited Series
Yellowjackets (Showtime) – 2 nominations

Ineligible: 3 Body Problem, The Crown, Fallout, The Gilded Age, The Morning Show, Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Shōgun

In my dreams: Evil (Paramount+)


ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown, Paradise
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us
Adam Scott, Severance
Noah Wyle, The Pitt

Potential surprises:
Diego Luna, Andor – never nominated
Jeff Bridges, The Old Man – 1 nomination
Jon Hamm, Your Friends and Neighbors – new show
Lee Jung-jae, Squid Game – 1 win
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light – 1 nomination for Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Ineligible: Idris Elba, Donald Glover, Walton Goggins, Hiroyuki Sanada, Dominic West

In my dreams: Michael Fassbender, The Agency


ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Britt Lower, Severance
Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets
Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us
Keri Russell, The Diplomat

Potential surprises:
Kathy Bates, Matlock – new show
Nicola Coughlan, Bridgerton – never nominated
Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters – 1 nomination
Nicole Kidman, The Perfect Couple – new show
Keira Knightley, Black Doves – new show

Ineligible: Jennifer Aniston, Carrie Coon, Maya Erskine, Anna Sawai, Imelda Staunton, Reese Witherspoon

In my dreams: Katja Herbers, Evil

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