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NEW SHOWS Abbott Elementary – “Development Day” (A) / season premiere Basically everything you could want in the season premiere to last year’s breakout comedy. Everything here plays to the show’s strengths: It’s realistic without being bleak, sweet without being saccharine and funny without sacrificing logic or heart.
BINGEING Mad Men – Season 1 (B+ average) After many years of stopping and starting this often slow-paced, character-driven show, I finally made it through the first season, and I now understand why everyone was so obsessed with it. Jon Hamm is giving the performance of a lifetime as Don Draper, but it’s the writing of such miserable characters that will keep me hooked until the end.
NEW SHOWS The Handmaid’s Tale “Morning” (B-) / season premiere “Ballet” (A) The show has no more tricks up its sleeve, and Elisabeth Moss’s performance is no longer among the best on TV. I’m a little tired of the literal hand-wringing from June about her bloody revenge killing. The show needs to wrap it up, but it still has one more season after this to do so. Still, the second episode, in which Serena returns to Gilead to give Fred a state funeral, is among the best of the series.
Atlanta “The Most Atlanta” (A+) / season premiere “The Homeliest Little Horse” (A) After a polarizing Season 3, the crew returns home and the show is as brilliant as ever. The season premiere rang especially true for this former Atlantan, with a surreal journey through the most well-trodden and hidden places in Georgia’s capital city. The second episode – intentionally or not – felt like a riff on Nathan Fielder’s The Rehearsal, with Earn using his now vast wealth to get revenge. Maybe that’s something he should be working on in therapy.
BINGEING NewsRadio – Season 1 (A- average) Unlike some sitcoms, the show didn’t need any time to find its footing. The ensemble gelled immediately and took the bold step of diving headfirst into an office romance, instead of a lengthy will they-won’t they. No wonder it was one of my favorites in my youth.
DRAMA SERIES Better Call Saul (AMC) Euphoria (HBO) Ozark (Netflix) Severance (AppleTV+) Squid Game (Netflix) Stranger Things (Netflix) Succession (HBO) Yellowjackets (Showtime)
Will win: Succession Could win: Squid Game Should win: Better Call Saul Should have been nominated: Evil (Paramount+)
The skinny: The winner will come down to how long voters’ memories are. Neither Squid Game nor Succession aired an episode in 2022, but one of them will emerge victorious. This is a classic case of not knowing if voters will go for something new and exciting or reliably great. So far my money is on honoring the past winner that got even better. It’s just too bad their win will come at the expense of Better Call Saul, which is likely to go down as the biggest loser in Emmy history.
ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES Jason Bateman, Ozark Brian Cox, Succession Lee Jung-jae, Squid Game Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul Adam Scott, Severance Jeremy Strong, Succession
Will win: Brian Cox Could win: Jeremy Strong Should win: Bob Odenkirk Should have been nominated: Mike Colter, Evil
The skinny: I honestly have no idea who’s going to win this. Cox has seemed like he would win ever since Succession started, and his Logan Roy is more ruthless than ever. But Strong was arguably even better this season than he was in Season 2, which he won for. And of course Odenkirk has made Jimmy deeper every single episode, and there could be some residual goodwill since his heart attack. And of course none of that might matter, because Squid Game could surprise us all and win across the board. I would not bet on this category.
ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES Jodie Comer, Killing Eve Laura Linney, Ozark Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets Sandra Oh, Killing Eve Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show Zendaya, Euphoria
Will win: Zendaya Could win: Laura Linney Should win: Melanie Lynskey Should have been nominated: Katja Herbers, Evil
The skinny: The Emmys love Laura Linney, and I’m a little surprised she hasn’t won for Ozark yet. But this is Zendaya’s to lose. But man, the only person happier than me to see Lynsey win is her husband Jason Ritter.
COMEDY SERIES Abbott Elementary (ABC) Barry (HBO) Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO) Hacks (HBO Max) The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime) Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) Ted Lasso (AppleTV+) What We Do in the Shadows (FX)
Will win: Abbott Elementary Could win: Ted Lasso Should win: Barry Should have been nominated: Reservation Dogs (Hulu)
The skinny: A truly wonderful lineup that failed to include last year’s best comedy (Reservation Dogs). While Ted Lasso won big last year, it’s more complex second season will probably come up empty. But Abbott Elementary has all the momentum and good will, and I think it will be the first broadcast show to win this award since Modern Family. May it run just as long.
COMEDY ACTOR Donald Glover, Atlanta Bill Hader, Barry Nicholas Hoult, The Great Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso
Will win: Bill Hader Could win: Jason Sudeikis Should win: Nicholas Hoult Should have been nominated: John Goodman, The Righteous Gemstones
The skinny: Barry hadn’t aired a new episode since 2019, but it felt like it hadn’t missed a beat. Even if the show doesn’t get the big award, I think Hader’s almost guaranteed to win a third Best Actor trophy.
COMEDY ACTRESS Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary Kaley Cuoco, The Flight Attendant Elle Fanning, The Great Issa Rae, Insecure Jean Smart, Hacks
Will win: Jean Smart Could win: Quinta Brunson Should win: Elle Fanning Should have been nominated: Devery Jacobs, Reservation Dogs
The skinny: Is there any woman on TV funnier than Jean Smart? I can’t think of one, and her second consecutive win for Hacks would be quite all right with me. As the creator and writer of the Abbott Elementary, it’s also possible voters honor Abbott here, even though she’s arguably the third or fourth funniest person on her own show (see also: Donald Glover’s Best Actor win for Atlanta‘s first season).
NEW SHOWS What We Do in the Shadows – “Sunrise, Sunset” (B) / season finale Always a shame when a successful season ends on more of a meh note. But there wasn’t much choice but to return to square one, with Colin Robinson back to being a full-grown energy vampire and the nightclub shutting down. Nothing wrong with resetting – as comedies like this have to do sometimes – but it doesn’t hit the heights of this season’s best moments.
LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES Dopesick (Hulu) The Dropout (Hulu) Inventing Anna (Netflix) Pam & Tommy (Hulu) The White Lotus (HBO)
Will and should win: The White Lotus Could win: The Dropout Should have been nominated: Under the Banner of Heaven (Hulu)
The skinny: Spring 2022 brought us a glut of miniseries based on real criminals, but it’s still surprising voters decided on Inventing Anna and Pam & Tommy instead of the superior Under the Banner of Heaven and The Staircase. But it doesn’t matter, because the only purely fictional show here will dominate the evening. Mike White’s The White Lotus took everyone by surprise last summer: a caustic, deeply funny and often uncomfortable show about the rich guests and poor staff of a luxury hotel in Hawaii. It will have been more than a year since the last episode aired by the time Mike White accepts the first of many awards at the ceremony, but its power won’t have diminished.
ACTOR IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE Colin Firth, The Staircase Andrew Garfield, Under the Banner of Heaven Oscar Isaac, Scenes from a Marriage Michael Keaton, Dopesick Himesh Patel, Station Eleven Sebastian Stan, Pam & Tommy
Will win: Colin Firth Could win: Michael Keaton Should win: Andrew Garfield Should have been nominated: Jon Bernthal, We Own This City
The skinny: Firth already has an Oscar, but his turn in The Staircase is his greatest performance. This is a stacked category, and I won’t be bothered if any of these gents win. I still think Garfield – who plays a Mormon detective whose faith is rocked by a grisly case – is the clear champion, but judging by how little the show was recognized, he feels like a longshot.
ACTRESS IN A LIMITED/ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE Toni Collette, The Staircase Julia Garner, Inventing Anna Lily James, Pam & Tommy Sarah Paulson, Impeachment: American Crime Story Margaret Qualley, Maid Amanda Seyfried, The Dropout
Will win: Amanda Seyfried Could win: Julia Garner Should win: Margaret Qualley Should have been nominated: Jessica Chastain, Scenes from a Marriage
The skinny: Here’s where I admit I haven’t seen The Dropout, despite its acclaim. I’m still skeptical of any story that’s already been told succinctly in two hours – in this case Alex Gibney’s doc The Inventor – spread out over 8-10 hours. This feels like Seyfried’s award to lose, even going against heavyweights like Garner and Paulson. I still prefer Qualley, giving the performance of her career so far as a single mother running into the buzzsaw of bureaucracy after leaving her abusive husband.
FILMS Top Picks Petite Maman – Hulu 9/6 The Last Duel – Hulu 9/14 The Outfit – Prime 9/16 Ambulance – Prime 9/30 House of Gucci – Paramount+ 9/30 This month I’m spotlighting some movies from the last year you might have missed. While your mileage may vary on the excesses of the latter two films, the first three are absolute knockouts.
Other Recommendations 10 Cloverfield Lane – Paramount+ 9/1 10 Things I Hate About You – Hulu 9/1 17 Again – Peacock 9/1 21 Grams – Prime 9/1 About a Boy – Peacock 9/1 Airplane! – HBO Max 9/1 The American – Hulu 9/1 American Dreamz – Peacock 9/1 American Pie – Hulu 9/1 An American Werewolf in London – Prime 9/1 Anchorman – Paramount+ 9/1 Army of Darkness – Peacock 9/1 Austin Powers – Netflix 9/1 Baby Mama – Peacock 9/1 Bandslam – HBO Max 9/1 Batman Begins – Hulu 9/1 Beau Travail – HBO Max 9/1 Beetlejuice – Peacock 9/1 Big – Hulu 9/1 The Birds – Peacock 9/1 The Blair Witch Project – Prime, Paramount+ and Peacock 9/1 Bull Durham – Paramount+ 9/1 Candyman (1992) – Peacock 9/1 Cat People (1942) – HBO Max 9/1 Charlie Wilson’s War – Peacock 9/1 Chronicle – Hulu 9/1 Cliffhanger – Hulu 9/1 A Clockwork Orange – Netflix 9/1 Clueless – Netflix 9/1 Collateral – Paramount+ 9/1 Congo – Paramount+ 9/1 Crazy Heart – Prime 9/1 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Paramount+ 9/1 The Darjeeling Limited – Hulu 9/1 The Dark Knight – Hulu 9/1 Dawn of the Dead (2004) – Peacock 9/1 The Descent – Prime 9/1 Despicable Me – Netflix 9/1 Drag Me to Hell – Peacock 9/1 Dredd – Peacock 9/1 Drive Angry – Hulu 9/1 Eddie Murphy: Raw – Paramount+ 9/1 Erin Brockovich – Peacock 9/1 The Eyes of Tammy Faye – Hulu 9/1 F/X – Paramount+ 9/1 Fear – Peacock 9/1 Fight Club – Prime and Hulu 9/1 The Fisher King – Hulu 9/1 Friday Night Lights – Peacock 9/1 Furious 7 – Peacock 9/1 Get Smart – Hulu 9/1 Glory – HBO Max 9/1 Gone Girl – Peacock 9/1 Gone in 60 Seconds (2000) – Peacock 9/1 The Good Shepherd – Hulu 9/1 Gorky Park – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 Halloween III: Season of the Witch – Peacock 9/1 The Hangover – Peacock 9/1 Hard Eight – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 He Got Game – Prime and Hulu 9/1 Heartburn – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 High-Rise – Hulu 9/1 Hot Tub Time Machine – HBO Max 9/1 How to Train Your Dragon – Prime 9/1 I’m Still Here – Prime 9/1 If Beale Street Could Talk – Netflix 9/1 In Time – Prime 9/1 The Italian Job – Netflix 9/1 Jailhouse Rock – HBO Max 9/1 John Q. – Netflix 9/1 Jurassic Park – Peacock 9/1 Just Friends – Netflix 9/1 A Knight’s Tale – Netflix 9/1 Legally Blonde – Prime 9/1 Let the Right One In – Prime 9/1 Life of Crime – HBO Max 9/1 The Lost World: Jurassic Park – Peacock 9/1 Love Actually – Peacock 9/1 Mama – Peacock 9/1 The Mask of Zorro – Hulu 9/1 Melancholia – HBO Max 9/1 Meet the Parents – Hulu 9/1 Mother! – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 My Beautiful Laundrette – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 My Best Friend’s Wedding – Peacock 9/1 My Week with Marilyn – HBO Max 9/1 The Natural – Paramount+ 9/1 Neighbors 2 – Peacock 9/1 Nine Months – Hulu 9/1 Notes on a Scandal – Hulu 9/1 Notting Hill – Peacock 9/1 Open Water – Prime and Hulu 9/1 Paul – Peacock 9/1 The People vs. Larry Flynt – Hulu 9/1 Philadelphia – Hulu 9/1 Pitch Perfect – Peacock 9/1 Prince of Darkness – Peacock 9/1 Psycho (1960) – Peacock 9/1 The Quiet Man – Paramount+ 9/1 Rear Window (1954) – Peacock 9/1 Reign of Fire – Prime 9/1 Rescue Dawn – Prime 9/1 Road House – Netflix 9/1 Robot and Frank – Hulu 9/1 Rocknrolla – HBO Max 9/1 Role Models – Prime 9/1 Rookie of the Year – Prime 9/1 Rope – Peacock 9/1 Roxanne – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 The Rundown – Peacock 9/1 Serendipity – Paramount+ 9/1 Shadow of a Doubt – Peacock 9/1 Shanghai Noon – Paramount+ Shaun of the Dead – Peacock 9/1 The Silence of the Lambs – Prime 9/1 Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow – Paramount+ 9/1 Skyfall – Prime 9/1 Slither – Peacock 9/1 The Social Network – Hulu 9/1 Star Trek (2009) – Paramount+ 9/1 Steel Magnolias – Peacock 9/1 Stripes – Hulu 9/1 The Tailor of Panama – HBO Max 9/1 Tales from the Crypt: Demon Knight – Peacock 9/1 Tales from the Hood – Peacock 9/1 They Live – Peacock 9/1 The Thing – Peacock 9/1 This Is 40 – Hulu and Netflix 9/1 Tigerland – Hulu 9/1 Topsy-Turvy – HBO Max 9/1 Trollhunter – Prime 9/1 True Grit (2010) – Paramount+ 9/1 True Lies – Hulu 9/1 Twister – Peacock 9/1 United 93 – Peacock 9/1 Up in the Air – Paramount+ 9/1 The Usual Suspects – Prime 9/1 Vertigo – Peacock 9/1 Village of the Damned (1960) – HBO Max 9/1 War of the Worlds (2005) – Prime and Paramount+ 9/1 What Lies Beneath – HBO Max 9/1 Zodiac – Paramount+ 9/1 Thor: Love and Thunder – Disney+ 9/8 Colette – Netflix 9/13 Tammy – HBO Max 9/14 Dracula (1931) – Peacock 9/15 Frankenstein (1931) – Peacock 9/15 The Invisible Man (1933) – Peacock 9/15 It Came from Outer Space – Peacock 9/15 The Mummy (1932) – Peacock 9/15 Phantom of the Opera (1943) – Peacock 9/15 Love, Simon – Hulu 9/15 This Is the End – Netflix 9/16 Elysium – Netflix 9/27 Our Idiot Brother – Prime 9/27
NEW SHOWS Kevin Can F**k Himself – “Mrs. McRoberts Is Dead” (B+) / season premiere Felt very reminiscent of Breaking Bad, in that the writers have painted themselves into a corner, then have to figure a way out of it. The first half felt a little forced and flustered, but the second half was a stroke of genius.
Only Murders in the Building – “I Know Who Did It” (A-) / season finale A rousing, meta resolution to this season’s mystery. The show’s middle 10 minutes or so – at the “killer reveal party,” which is a killer party that reveals the killer – was some of the most purely pleasurable television of the year.
BINGEING The Critic – Season 2 (B+ average) Not as sharp as its first season, but Jay’s ongoing relationship with single mom Alice lets him reveal some rare human emotions. A shame this show didn’t last longer.
The Sandman – Season 1 (A- average) Holy shit, they did it. After decades in development hell, this team pulled it off. They made the intricate stories and beautifully horrifying images come to life, all while updating the characters in ways that made perfect sense for 2022.
I’m not going in-depth this time because only – checks notes – one potential Best Picture nominee has come out so far. So enjoy the mystery for now.
BEST PICTURE Armageddon Time Avatar: The Way of Water Babylon Bardo Empire of Light Everything Everywhere All at Once The Fabelmans She Said The Son White Noise
BEST DIRECTOR Damien Chazelle, Babylon Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Bardo Sam Mendes, Empire of Light Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness
BEST ACTOR Austin Butler, Elvis Adam Driver, White Noise Brendan Fraser, The Whale Hugh Jackman, The Son Bill Nighy, Living
BEST ACTRESS Cate Blanchett, Tár Viola Davis, The Woman King Ana de Armas, Blonde Carey Mulligan, She Said Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
NEW SHOWS Evil – “The Demon of the End” (A) / season finale Two words: Demon Nativity. After last week’s unexpected turn of events, I was expecting more tragedy. But things seemed to work out for our trio of assessors and their families, at least until the horrifying revelations of the last 10 minutes. No show is more willing to make us love our characters despite their flaws, and I can’t think of any show that would end with a Laurie Anderson song.
Better Call Saul – “Saul Gone” (A) / series finale About as good as could be expected. While I initially thought all the cameos were too cutesy, they actually make the whole episode even sadder. This finale even mirrors Breaking Bad‘s “Felina,” with the criminal protagonists attempting to making things right with their former accomplices before getting what they deserve (if such a thing exists). If Odenkirk goes this entire show without ever winning an Emmy, it’s further proof the Academy doesn’t know what they’re doing.
The Rehearsal – “Pretend Daddy” (A) / season finale All of the hand-wringing and thinkpieces over the show’s ethics proved unnecessary, as Nathan Fielder himself wrestles with the impact his show had on one of its youngest participants: a 6-year-old boy named Remy who bonded with Nathan in their many days of parenting practice. It’s brilliant, heartbreaking and hilarious.
BINGEING The Critic – Season 1 (B+ average) Some of the jokes and movie parodies are extremely dated, but the core still works. This is still a funny, culturally literate story of a very lonely man who loves cinema, food and his son.
