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BEST PICTURE All of Us Strangers Anatomy of a Fall Asteroid City Godzilla Minus One How to Blow Up a Pipeline Killers of the Flower Moon Oppenheimer Past Lives Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse The Zone of Interest
BEST DIRECTING Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall Wes Anderson, Asteroid City Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
BEST ACTOR Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers Barry Keoghan, Saltburn Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
BEST ACTRESS Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fall Greta Lee, Past Lives Margot Robbie, Barbie Emma Stone, Poor Things
BEST PICTURE American Fiction Anatomy of a Fall Barbie The Holdovers Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro Oppenheimer Past Lives Poor Things The Zone of Interest
Will win: Oppenheimer Could win: Barbie Should win: The Zone of Interest Should have been nominated: All of Us Strangers
The skinny: Barbenheimer was the big story of 2023, so it’s appropriate it will come down to the two biggest movies of the year for Best Picture. But by this point it’s not much of a race anymore. Barbie‘s surprise misses in Director and Actress show there’s not quite as much love for the runaway hit among the Academy as there was in the general public. And now that Oppenheimer has won pretty much every precursor, it looks like this race is over. And that’s fine! It’s easily the best live-action movie put out by a major studio this past year. It’s no Zone of Interest, but that movie’s a one-of-one.
BEST DIRECTING Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Will win: Christopher Nolan Could and should win: Jonathan Glazer Should have been nominated: Celine Song, Past Lives
The skinny: No matter what happens in Best Picture, Nolan’s had this locked up for a long time. A DGA win just confirmed what we already knew.
BEST ACTOR Bradley Cooper, Maestro Colman Domingo, Rustin Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Will win: Cillian Murphy Could win: Paul Giamatti Should win: Jeffrey Wright Should have been nominated: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
The skinny: A solid lineup with actors I like. But while I would hardly call Murphy undeserving, he’s not the most impressive part of a very impressive film. I’d rather one of his closest competitors win this year. Both Wright and Giamatti have been reliable character actors for decades, both bringing their special talents to two thorny but lovable lead parts. And as much as Cooper is hungry for that Oscar, I’d easily swap him out for Barry Keoghan, the best part of the much-discussed Saltburn.
BEST ACTRESS Annette Bening, Nyad Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall Carey Mulligan, Maestro Emma Stone, Poor Things
Will and should win: Lily Gladstone Could win: Emma Stone Should have been nominated: Margot Robbie, Barbie
The skinny: It seemed like Lily Gladstone had this all sewn up. But then more people finally saw Poor Things and Emma Stone (a previous winner for La La Land) pulled ahead. But a SAG win sealed the deal for Lily, one of my favorite actresses of the last few years. Her acceptance speech should be one for the ages.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon Robert Downey Jr, Oppenheimer Ryan Gosling, Barbie Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Will and should win: Robert Downey Jr Could win: Mark Ruffalo Should have been nominated: Charles Melton, May December
The skinny: As excellent as this lineup is, excluding Melton is awards malpractice. Even in a movie that presents actors as craven, unfeeling parasites, Melton is astonishing. So now we’re back to where we were in the summer, with Downey cruising to victory. Again, nothing wrong with that, even if I think more about the smaller turns by Matt Damon and David Krumholtz.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple America Ferrera, Barbie Jodie Foster, Nyad Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Will and should win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph Could win: Jodie Foster Should have been nominated: Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret
The skinny: Certainly one of the odder lineups in recent memory, but it was genuinely a weaker year for this category. Randolph is easily the frontrunner here, and she’d be my personal pick. I’d also swap Ferrera (not even the third-best performance in Barbie) for Rachel McAdams in Kelly Fremon Craig’s unsung Judy Blume adaptation.
FILM Top Pick The Last Temptation of Christ – Peacock Martin Scorsese’s finest achievement remains this adaptation of Nikos Kazantzakis’ eternally controversial novel. Even if you’re not religious, the film has an undeniable power thanks to its focus on Jesus’s humanity and sacrifice.
New Releases Napoleon – AppleTV+ Our Body – Criterion Our Father, the Devil – Criterion Five Nights at Freddy’s – Prime Video 3/5 The Marsh King’s Daughter – Hulu 3/5 Marlowe – Prime Video 3/7 Ricky Stanicky – Prime Video 3/7 Wonka – Max 3/8 What Happens Later – Paramount+ with Showtime 3/10 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 – Prime Video 3/12 The Stones and Brian Jones – Hulu 3/14 Children of the Corn (2023) – Hulu 3/15 Dream Scenario – Max 3/15 Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour – Disney+ 3/15 Trolls: Band Together – Peacock 3/15 The Treasure of Foggy Mountain – Prime Video 3/17 Expend4bles – Starz 3/20 Back on the Strip – Starz 3/21 Road House (2024) – Prime Video 3/21 On Fire – Peacock 3/22 You’ll Never Find Me – AMC+ 3/22 Paint – Hulu 3/29 Brian and Charles – Starz 3/30
Essential Viewing 9 to 5 – Peacock 127 Hours – Max The Abyss (1989) – Paramount+ Airplane! – Paramount+ Alien – Peacock Animal House – Netflix Arrival – Peacock Back to the Future – Peacock Batman (1989) – Prime Video The Big Lebowski – Peacock Birdman – Hulu Blade Runner 2049 – Hulu Bonnie & Clyde – Netflix Brokeback Mountain – Peacock Bull Durham – Prime Video Cabaret – Max Devil in a Blue Dress – Netflix and Starz Drive My Car – Criterion Dune (2021) – Hulu Dunkirk – Hulu El Norte – Criterion Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – Peacock Fast Times at Ridgemont High – Peacock The Favourite – Hulu Forgetting Sarah Marshall – Max Frances Ha – Criterion Friday Night Lights – Prime Video Goodfellas – Hulu The Green Knight – Max Harry Potter series – Peacock If Beale Street Could Talk – Starz Inception – Hulu Inside Llewyn Davis – Paramount+ Inside Man (2006) – Starz King Kong (1933) – Max L.A. Confidential – Hulu The Last Waltz – Prime Video A League of Their Own – Peacock Lost in Translation – Peacock Love & Basketball – Netflix Miller’s Crossing – Paramount+ Mulholland Dr. – Criterion My Cousin Vinny – Hulu and Peacock The Purple Rose of Cairo – Prime Video Raging Bull – Criterion Raising Arizona – Paramount+ Requiem for a Dream – Paramount+ with Showtime Reservoir Dogs – Criterion Road to Perdition – Prime Video Romeo + Juliet – Paramount+ Scream (1996) – Max Scream 2 – Max Sin City – Paramount+ with Showtime Snowpiercer – Peacock Stand by Me – Hulu Step Brothers – Netflix Super 8 – Prime Video Superbad – Peacock Take Shelter – Prime Video The Tree of Life – Hulu V for Vendetta – Peacock Frida – Prime Video 3/14 Carol – Paramount+ with Showtime 3/19 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire – Peacock 3/1 and Netflix 3/31 Kill Bill: Vols. 1 & 2 – Peacock 3/1 and Netflix 3/31 Jackie Brown – Peacock 3/31 John Wick 1-3 – Peacock 3/31
Spotlight Collection N/A
Hidden Gems American Movie – Criterion Black Dynamite – Starz Desperately Seeking Susan – Prime Video Dredd – Peacock Drive Angry – Hulu Drugstore Cowboy – Paramount+ with Showtime Enough Said – Hulu and Paramount+ with Showtime The Farewell – Max The Good Girl – Paramount+ Good Time – Max Grindhouse – Starz Hanna – Peacock Observe and Report – Max Return to Me – Prime Video The Rundown – Starz Sexy Beast – Hulu The Silent Partner – Criterion Texas Chainsaw Massacre 2 – Prime Video Thank You for Smoking – Hulu The Virgin Suicides – Criterion Win Win – Hulu Sleeping with Other People – Paramount+ with Showtime 3/11 Keeping the Faith – Peacock 3/31 Open Water – Starz 3/31
Nostalgia Picks Bend It Like Beckham – Hulu Bring It On – Prime Video
All titles premiere on the first of the month, unless otherwise noted.
FILM Top Pick Past Lives – Paramount+ with Showtime 2/2 The Best Picture nominee has gotten rave reviews for more than a year now, but still has been seen by far too few. Celine Song’s directorial debut was one of my top 10 films of 2023, and an achingly poignant love story.
New Releases Kings from Queens: The Run-DMC Story – Peacock Bosco – Peacock 2/2 Dario Argento Panico – AMC+ 2/2 Kokomo City – Paramount+ with Showtime 2/2 The Tiger’s Apprentice – Paramount+ 2/2 Strays – Prime Video 2/6 Surrounded – Prime Video 2/6 The Marvels – Disney+ 2/7 Cat Person – Hulu 2/9 Skeletons in the Closet – AMC+ 2/9 Suncoast – Hulu 2/9 Upgraded – Prime Video 2/9 Bottoms – Prime Video 2/13 Joan Baez: I Am a Noise – Hulu 2/15 Next Goal Wins – Hulu 2/15 Dark Harvest – Prime Video 2/16 Oppenheimer – Paramount+ 2/16 The Pod Generation – Hulu 2/16 This Is Me… Now: A Love Story – Prime Video 2/16 Giannis: The Marvelous Journey – Prime Video 2/19 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem – Prime Video 2/21 Monica – Hulu 2/25
Essential Viewing 12 Angry Men – Prime Video 12 Years a Slave – Hulu and Paramount+ 500 Days of Summer – Hulu Anchorman – Peacock Annie Hall – Prime Video Bridget Jones’s Diary – Paramount+ Brooklyn – Max The Cabin in the Woods – Hulu Call Me by Your Name – Hulu Chicago – Paramount+ Citizen Kane – Max Clockers – Peacock A Clockwork Orange – Max Crooklyn – Peacock The Dark Knight – Peacock The Descent – Hulu Don’t Look Now – Paramount+ with Showtime Dunkirk – Peacock The Elephant Man – Prime Video Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – Criterion Channel Full Metal Jacket – Max Get Out – Prime Video A Ghost Story – Max Ghost World – Prime Video Glory – Peacock Harold and Maude – Paramount+ Hoop Dreams – Paramount+ Hot Fuzz – Prime Video I Am Not Your Negro – Peacock and Prime Video If Beale Street Could Talk – Peacock Inception – Peacock Infernal Affairs – Criterion Channel The Iron Giant – Paramount+ The LEGO Movie – Max Lincoln – Paramount+ Magnolia – Paramount+ A Matter of Life and Death – Criterion Channel Mo’ Better Blues – Peacock Moneyball – Netflix No Country for Old Men – Paramount+ Once – Peacock Police Story | Police Story 2 – Criterion Channel Pride & Prejudice (2005) – Peacock Roman Holiday – Paramount+ Sabrina (1954) – Paramount+ Scott Pilgrim vs. the World – Prime Video Se7en – Max Solaris (1972) – Criterion Channel Sunset Boulevard – Paramount+ Up in the Air – Max When We Were Kings – Paramount+ Wings of Desire – Criterion Channel Zodiac – Paramount+ Zoolander – Peacock Predator (1987) – Hulu 2/4 Romeo + Juliet (1996) – Hulu 2/8 The Abyss (1989) – Hulu 2/9 Nomadland – Hulu 2/19 Everything Everywhere All at Once – Netflix 2/23 Django Unchained – Starz 2/27
Spotlight Collection Dario Argento Collection – AMC+ 2/2 In conjunction with the new retrospective documentary Dario Argento Panico (which premieres the same day), Shudder is expanding their library of the Italian horror master’s films. From true gialli like The Bird with the Crystal Plumage, Deep Red and Opera to more surreal scares in Phenomena and Inferno, there’s plenty to enjoy here.
Hidden Gems 50/50 – Starz The Good Girl – Paramount+ with Showtime In the Cut – Prime Video The Meddler – Starz Miss Sharon Jones! – Max Night Catches Us – Hulu Red Rocket – Prime Video Save Yourselves! – Max Tigerland – Paramount+ The Visit – Max The Weather Man – Paramount+ Young Adult – Prime Video Marcel the Shell with Shoes On – Netflix 2/24
Biggest Snubs (in order from most to least egregious)
Killers of the Flower Moon – Adapted Screenplay A truly stunning miss considering the film got nominated for basically everything else it was expected to, including Picture, Directing, Actress, Original Score and other technical awards. But something was going to get robbed since the Academy decided to categorize Barbie as an adapted work.
Barbie – Actress Margot Robbie is still a nominee for Barbie, just as a producer. But I don’t think a single person predicted this. She’d hit every precursor imaginable and was the face of the biggest movie of the year. I’m less annoyed Greta Gerwig wasn’t nominated, but only because I wasn’t quite as high on the film as most everyone else.
May December – Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress Just gonna be glaring at the acting branch from a distance for the next six weeks. Even with crowded fields, ignoring all three incredible performances – especially Charles Melton’s – feels like a punishment for a good yet uncomfortable film.
All of Us Strangers – Picture, Directing, Actor, Adapted Screenplay It was always a longshot, especially with Searchlight putting all their weight behind Poor Things. But no other movie this year made me cry big, ugly tears like this one. It was an extremely moving experience, anchored by Andrew Scott’s terrific performance. I’d take him over Bradley Cooper’s turn in Maestro any day.
Asteroid City – Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Costume Design, Cinematography Well, Wes Anderson did get nominated for something. (More on that later.) But this is the second straight film where at minimum, he deserved consideration for writing and his amazing crew deserved consideration for their work in turning out one of the flat-out best-looking movies of the year.
BEST PICTURE American Fiction Anatomy of a Fall Barbie The Holdovers Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro Oppenheimer Past Lives Poor Things The Zone of Interest
Dark Horse: The Color Purple Long Shot: Air Total Shock: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
The skinny: These 10 have been in place for a while now. Despite a Best Ensemble nomination at the SAG Awards, it will take a miracle for The Color Purple to make it in here. Air‘s stayed on the periphery for almost a year, and if it was a serious contender it would have picked up *something* by now.
BEST DIRECTOR Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall Greta Gerwig, Barbie Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Dark Horse: Alexander Payne, The Holdovers Long Shot: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest Total Shock: Hayao Miyazaki, The Boy and the Heron
The skinny: Payne made the DGA’s final five, but I don’t think this is his year, especially with two strong international contenders in Justine Triet and Jonathan Glazer (not to mention Yorgos Lanthimos). And besides, if any movie accused of being slight is getting a Directing nomination, it will be Barbie.
BEST ACTOR Bradley Cooper, Maestro Colman Domingo, Rustin Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Dark Horse: Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers Long Shot: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn Total Shock: Zac Efron, The Iron Claw
The skinny: If Andrew Scott’s not nominated – and that’s looking increasingly lightly – I think you’ll have to blame Searchlight for releasing All of Us Strangers so late. He had too short a runway to campaign against the insanely stacked competition.
It remains to be seen if there’s a Saltburn contingent that could turn the divisive but much-discussed film into a surprise contender. But the fact that it’s just sitting on Prime and being memed daily certainly has to be an asset.
Now, let’s pour one out for Zac Efron’s best performance, which will go unheralded, just like the movie it’s in.
BEST ACTRESS Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall Carey Mulligan, Maestro Margot Robbie, Barbie Emma Stone, Poor Things
Dark Horse: Annette Bening, Nyad Long Shot: Greta Lee, Past Lives Total Shock: Natalie Portman, May December
The skinny: Seeing May December go from critical darling to persona non grata in the awards race is one of the more fascinating developments of recent years. Another Netflix contender (Nyad) has seen its stock rise thanks to two SAG nominations, but I think Hüller still takes Bening’s place in the final five. That means Greta Lee – Past Lives‘ best hope at an acting nod – will just have to wonder what could have been.
ENSEMBLE IN A COMEDY Asteroid City Once again, Wes Anderson beautifully integrates longtime collaborators (Tilda Swinton, Jason Schwartzman) and newcomers (Tom Hanks, Margot Robbie) into his largest ensemble yet. Whether inside the story or out of it – in a context I won’t spoil – they all get moments to shine.
ACTOR IN A COMEDY Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction Wright has stunned in supporting part for more than 25 years, but gets his first starring role since Basquiat. To absolutely no one’s surprise, he nails it. As the curmudgeonly writer who leans into the stereotypical “urban fiction” that seems to sell like hotcakes, he’s both right and wrong in his cynical POV. Opening himself up to new possibilities may not change his literary opinions, but they certainly let him see the real world in a new light.
ACTRESS IN A COMEDY Emma Stone, Poor Things While the word “fearless” gets tossed around a lot when discussing performers who get fully nude or play addicts, I think it applies to Stone’s turn here. Playing an impulsive creation of a mad scientist (Willem Dafoe), she learns all about the world’s good and bad qualities at an accelerated pace. This lets her be curious, playful, and at times, annoying as hell. Much like her diabolical turn on The Curse, she’s fearlessly letting herself be unlikable.
2023 was a truly great year for cinema, the best since 2019. We got so many gifts, even if those weren’t reflected in the top-grossing movies of the year. Read on as I celebrate my favorites.
10. Past Lives (dir. Celine Song) A beautiful movie that refuses to make its characters heroes or villains. The paths we take unfold in different ways. Wondering if a different path – in the past or the future – could be better (or just different) is all too human. But few movies have ever captured such inexpressible feelings. It might have the ending of the year, too. (Though it faces stiff competition from my top two films.)
9. All of Us Strangers (dir. Andrew Haigh) The first film in several years that made me cry big, ugly tears. Andrew Scott finally gets a lead role worthy of his talents as Adam, a writer still grappling with his parents’ deaths. A new love (Paul Mescal) brings some light into his melancholy existence, but the lines between reality, fiction and hallucination begin to blur, and Adam must grab onto what’s real. Of all the new movies I wish I could have talked about with my late uncle – who passed away in 2020 – this is easily No. 1.
8. How to Blow Up a Pipeline (dir. Daniel Goldhaber) Once you accept the reality that fossil fuel companies commit crimes against all of us every single day, any crimes committed against them are absolutely justified. This sort of radical thinking might be completely foreign to most people, but it’s in the bones of the ragtag group of saboteurs in this thrilling adaptation of a philosophical manifesto. It’s rare for a scripted American movie with politics this far left to ever see the light of day. That would be cause for celebration on its own, but the movie also Trojan horses its POV inside a crackerjack heist movie. You could easily show this to a relative and get a good discussion going.
7. Godzilla Minus One (dir. Takashi Yamazaki) The year’s best blockbuster came not from Hollywood, but from Japan. While U.S. audiences mostly rejected the slate of hideous, flat comic book adaptations, they embraced this astonishingly good prequel. Everything missing from our big tentpoles could be found here: a compelling story, characters we care about, and thoughtfully deployed VFX. Hopefully the filmmakers working on the next batch of big movies takes note.
6. Oppenheimer (dir. Christopher Nolan) When you give a director like Nolan carte blanche to make a historical film, he’s going to go all out. No boring History Channel storytelling. He’s going to take inspiration from Oliver Stone’s JFK and make three hours go by in a snap. Similar to that epic, exacting accuracy is not the goal but dramatic heft and narrative movement. Hopping back and forth in time, he gives us a portrait of one of the most important yet unknowable figures of the 20th Century. Or at least as complete a portrait as possible.
Every award will come down to Succession vs. The Last of Us or Succession vs. The White Lotus. I think the saga of the Roys will wipe the floor with the video game adaptation. But its battle against the unhappy guests of an Italian resort might be a little trickier.
DRAMA SERIES Andor (Disney+) Better Call Saul (AMC) The Crown (Netflix) House of the Dragon (HBO) The Last of Us (HBO) Succession (HBO) The White Lotus (HBO) Yellowjackets (Showtime)
Will win: Succession Could win: The Last of Us Should win: Better Call Saul Should have been nominated: The Sandman (Netflix)
ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES Jeff Bridges, The Old Man Brian Cox, Succession Kieran Culkin, Succession Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us Jeremy Strong, Succession
Will win: Kieran Culkin Could win: Pedro Pascal Should win: Bob Odenkirk Should have been nominated: Matthew Rhys, Perry Mason
ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us Keri Russell, The Diplomat Sarah Snook, Succession
Will win: Sarah Snook Could win: Bella Ramsey Should win: Keri Russell Should have been nominated: Juliette Lewis, Yellowjackets
COMEDY SERIES Abbott Elementary (ABC) Barry (HBO) The Bear (Hulu) Jury Duty (freevee) The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video) Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) Ted Lasso (AppleTV+) Wednesday (Netflix)
Will and should win: The Bear Could win: Ted Lasso Should have been nominated: Reservation Dogs (Hulu)
The skinny: It’s really odd that The Bear just won multiple awards at the Golden Globes for Season 2 and these Emmys will be for Season 1. No matter. Either season is better than that last season of Ted Lasso.
ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES Bill Hader, Barry Jason Segel, Shrinking Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso Jeremy Allen White, The Bear
Will and should win: Jeremy Allen White Could win: Jason Sudeikis Should have been nominated: Nathan Fielder, The Rehearsal
The skinny: With Hader and Sudeikis already winning, I would be shocked if either of them repeated instead of White (who’s no spring chicken, but hasn’t been as famous as he is now).
ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES Christina Applegate, Dead to Me Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face Jenna Ortega, Wednesday
Will win: Quinta Brunson Should and could win: Natasha Lyonne Should have been nominated: Devery Jacobs, Reservation Dogs
The skinny: It seems like Brunson will return to the stage after winning for her pilot script last year, but Lyonne and Ortega are serious threats. Of course, they all fall short of Jacobs in my eyes, but Reservation Dogs will never get its due from this awards body.
