I got most everything right here. I don’t think I’m exceptionally good at this, they were just really easy to call this year. But there were a few surprises, mainly that the foreign press was not wildly in love with The Ghost Writer. It’s a Bush-hating diatribe from the thoroughly respected Roman Polanski and it couldn’t score a single nomination? You’re kidding. And OK, maybe I was a little out there in expecting some nominations for Get Him to the Greek (though it did manage to score a Best Comedy nomination at the Broadcast Film Critics awards). So I’ll bold what I got correct and recap each category.
What I missed: The foreign press apparently loves good underdog stories as much as Americans do, and as I’m predicting for the Oscars, The Fighter‘s going to be a major player.
What I missed: Everything, because I forgot this lot likes to nominate complete crap sometimes. Alice in Wonderland was a worldwide phenomenon, so I can understand that. And Burlesque is the only real musical this year. But The Tourist has gotten horrible reviews stateside, but the espionage thriller has star wattage, which is the only thing that matters here. And while I enjoyed Red, it’s not really major award-worthy.
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David O. Russell, The Fighter
What I missed: Exactly what I missed in the Best Picture category.
What I missed: No love for True Grit? OK, the Western is a strictly American thing. But Javier Bardem in a gritty role gets no respect either? Way harsh, foreign press. But this is big news for Blue Valentine, which successfully appealed it’s NC-17 rating and is on its way to bigger and better things.
What I missed: Mike Leigh is not a favorite apparently. Or maybe not enough members had seen Another Year. Halle Berry apparently still qualifies as a star (this is news to me) and the foreign press realized Michelle Williams is perhaps the best actress working today.
What I missed: Johnny Depp times two, and in two of his worst performances to date, no less. (I’ve seen Alice, but I’m only going off the reviews of The Tourist).
I should’ve known Angelina Jolie will get an automatic nomination, since she’s won three of these things already. But I’m happy I predicted Emma Stone, but more happy she’s going to get more attention these days.
What I missed: The cancer card can get you a lot of places. But it’s gonna take a lot more for Douglas to get an Oscar for reprising his role as Gordon Gekko. Jeremy Renner picked up The Town‘s only nomination, but it’ll get more than that come Oscar time.
What I missed: Hello, breakout performance. I can just kick myself for not predicting Mila Kunis but I’m surprised the foreign press nominated not one but two performances from The Fighter. It’s a sure sign of things to come.
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, The Kids are All Right
David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours
What I missed: So they threw 127 Hours a bone. It deserves this award and a whole lot more. I’m glad Inception got some love, because it’s the most creative film of the year. Hopefully Nolan can tee up an Oscar nod with his nomination and some love from the Writers Guild.