Well that sure went by quickly. I thought I had another week to do this post. But here we are. Black Swan doesn’t come out ’til Friday, so the jury’s still out on its Oscar potential. Until then, a lot of the same. Check back in December when things will really heat up.
Falling off: Alice in Wonderland
The skinny: This probably has more to do with my intense admiration for How to Train Your Dragon, which I finally saw this week than what’s really going on in Oscar voters’ heads. I highly doubt they’ll nominate not one but two animated features for Best Picture, but anything can happen with 10 nominees. It’s got the glowing reviews and the big bucks, while Alice only has the latter.
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David O. Russell, The Fighter
Falling off: Joel and Ethan Coen
The skinny: Is there anyone who can stop the Coens? Maybe. But I think this will open happen if there’s a Rocky-style landslide of nods for The Fighter, which is a serious possibility. In which case, they’ll just have to settle for their third Best Picture nomination in four years.
Falling off: No one
The skinny: I want Jesse Eisenberg here more than anything, but there’s some seriously stiff competition, as to be expected.
Falling off: Hilary Swank
The skinny: Conviction just hasn’t taken off. There’s still hope for the two-time winner, but not enough convincing evidence.
Falling off: Sam Rockwell
The skinny: If he doesn’t make it, Rockwell will stand alongside Joseph Gordon-Levitt and Donald Sutherland as the greatest living actors without an Oscar nomination. He still has a shot, but Conviction needed to do Erin Brockovich numbers to give its actors some security.
Falling off: Kristin Scott Thomas
The skinny: Like I mentioned above, if the ball gets rolling, The Fighter could easily get four acting nods, which would make it the first film to do so since Doubt (although none of those fine actors won–Viola Davis wuz robbed, I tell ya). Thomas is still a lock for a Golden Globe, which might give voters a reason to check out the little seen John Lennon biopic.