Emmy Predictions 2024: Drama

FX’s decision to move Shōgun to Drama Series is looking to be a fruitful one, as it’s already racked up the most wins for a show in a single year, and that’s just from the Creative Arts Emmy Awards. I sadly haven’t seen it yet, so while I’m sure it is the crowning achievement everyone has said it is, I’m picking some longtime favorites in the “Should Win” blocks. But of course I wouldn’t have to be doing that if the Academy had nominated The Curse for anything.

DRAMA SERIES
3 Body Problem (Netflix)
The Crown (Netflix)
Fallout (Prime Video)
The Gilded Age (HBO)
The Morning Show (AppleTV+)
Mr. & Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)
Shōgun (FX)
Slow Horses (AppleTV+)

Will and probably should win: Shōgun
Could win: The Crown
Should have been nominated: The Curse (Showtime)

ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Idris Elba, Hijack
Donald Glover, Mr. & Mrs. Smith
Walton Goggins, Fallout
Gary Oldman, Slow Horses
Hiroyuki Sanada, Shōgun
Dominic West, The Crown

Will win: Hiroyuki Sanada
Could win: Gary Oldman
Should win: Dominic West
Should have been nominated: Nathan Fielder, The Curse

ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
Carrie Coon, The Gilded Age
Maya Erskine, Mr. & Mrs. Smith
Anna Sawai, Shōgun
Imelda Staunton, The Crown
Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show

Will and should win: Imelda Staunton
Could win: Anna Sawai
Should have been nominated: Emma Stone, The Curse

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Tadanobu Asano, Shōgun
Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
Mark Duplass, The Morning Show
Jon Hamm, The Morning Show
Takehiro Hira, Shōgun
Jack Lowden, Slow Horses
Jonathan Pryce, The Crown

Will win: Jon Hamm
Could win: Jack Lowden
Should win: Jonathan Pryce
Should have been nominated: Benny Safdie, The Curse

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Christine Baranski, The Gilded Age
Nicole Beharie, The Morning Show
Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
Greta Lee, The Morning Show
Lesley Manville, The Crown
Karen Pittman, The Morning Show
Holland Taylor, The Morning Show

Will and should win: Elizabeth Debicki
Could win: Lesley Manville
Should have been nominated: Nizhonniya Luxi Austin, The Curse

WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
The Crown (“Ritz”)
Fallout (“The End”)
Mr. & Mrs. Smith (“First Date”)
Shōgun (“Anjin”)
Shōgun (“Crimson Sky”)
Slow Horses (“Negotiating with Tigers”)

Will win: Shōgun (“Anjin”)
Could win: The Crown
Probably should win: Slow Horses
Should have been nominated: The Curse (“Land of Enchantment”)

DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
The Crown (“Sleep, Dearie Sleep”)
The Morning Show (“The Overview Effect”)
Mr. & Mrs. Smith (“First Date”)
Shōgun (“Crimson Sky”)
Slow Horses (“Strange Games”)
Winning Time (“Beat L.A.”)

Will and probably should win: Shōgun
Could win: Mr. & Mrs. Smith
Should have been nominated: The Curse (“Green Queen”)

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