The skinny: As always, we start with ten, even though there have been only nine nominees since the Academy rules changed. Boyhood seems like the frontrunner, but that’s because it’s the only one other than Grand Budapest that’s even been released.
The skinny: Again, Linklater’s the frontrunner, but doesn’t it seem like P.T. Anderson’s time?
The skinny: We’d have four first-timers plus Joaquin, and that would be awesome. A win for Keaton would be especially sweet, considering he should have been nominated more than 25 years ago for Clean & Sober and Beetlejuice. Let’s go ahead and start pulling for Ellar Coltrane now.
The skinny: Meryl Streep is always a forgone conclusion, along with Amy Adams. Rosamund Pike and Jessica Chastain may cancel each other out since there will be room for only one missing woman.
The skinny: Albert Brooks is just a dream at this point, because how do you not get nominated for Drive? And Tatum, fantastic though he is, will need a lot of support from Sony Pictures Classics to make it in.
The skinny: As always in this category, especially this early: Your guess is as good as mine.
The skinny: You heard it here first: Inherent Vice vs. Unbroken.
The skinny: Boyhood consolation price?
The skinny: The LEGO Movie is the frontrunner until it’s not.
Random Sure Things
Best Production Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Visual Effects: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Best Sound Mixing: Into the Woods
Best Sound Editing: Godzilla
Best Original Song: Begin Again