Emmy Guessing 2013

The Emmy nomination period ended Saturday, so let’s take a quick look at the shows and actors most likely to make it.

DRAMA SERIES
Guarantees:
Game of Thrones (HBO)
Homeland (Showtime)
Mad Men (AMC)

Good bets:
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Downton Abbey (PBS)
The Walking Dead (AMC)

Wish List:
The Americans (FX)
Hannibal (NBC)
The Newsroom (HBO)

DRAMA ACTOR
Guarantees:
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Damien Lewis, Homeland

Good bets:
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Michael C. Hall, Dexter

Wish List:
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Matthew Rhys, The Americans
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

DRAMA ACTRESS
Guarantees:
Glenn Close, Damages
Claire Danes, Homeland
Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife

Good bets:
Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

Wish List:
Connie Britton, Nashville
Emily Mortimer, The Newsroom
Keri Russell, The Americans

DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Guarantees:
Someone(s) from Downton Abbey
Someone(s) from Mad Men
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad

Good bets:
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Walton Goggins, Justified
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland

Wish List:
Jonathan Banks, Breaking Bad
Mads Mikkelsen, Hannibal
Sam Waterston, The Newsroom

DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Guarantees:
Someone(s) from Downton Abbey
Someone(s) from The Good Wife
Someone(s) from Mad Men

Good bets:
Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Monica Potter, Parenthood

Wish List:
Caroline Dhavernas, Hannibal
Margo Martindale, The Americans
Olivia Munn, The Newsroom

These are always crap shoots, so I’m just going to give you my wish list:
GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
2 Chainz, Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
Stephen Henderson, The Newsroom
Derek Luke, The Americans

GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jane Fonda, The Newsroom
Marina Squerciati, The Americans
Gina Torres, Hannibal

COMEDY SERIES
Guarantees:
30 Rock (NBC)
The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
Modern Family (ABC)

Good bets:
Girls (HBO)
How I Met Your Mother (CBS)
Veep (HBO)

Wish List:
Community or Parks and Recreation because they’re all NBC has left
Happy Endings (ABC)
Louie (FX)

COMEDY ACTOR
Guarantees:
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis CK, Louie
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Good bets:
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
Jake Johnson, New Girl

Wish List:
Joel McHale, Community
Matthew Perry, Go On
Adam Scott, Parks and Recreation

COMEDY ACTRESS
Guarantees:
Lena Dunham, Girls
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Good bets:
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly

Wish List:
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope

COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Guarantees:
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

Good bets:
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family

Wish List (pared down from about 15 different actors):
Adam Driver, Girls
Alex Karpovsky, Girls
DJ Qualls, Legit

COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Guarantees:
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

Good bets:
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Merritt Wever, Nurse Jackie

Wish List:
Elisha Cuthbert, Happy Endings
Aubrey Plaza, Parks and Recreation
Eden Sher, The Middle

These are always crap shoots, so I’m just going to give you my wish list:
GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Steve Carell, The Office (and this time he should win to make up for that travesty of losing to Jim Parsons)
Jon Glaser, Parks and Recreation
Patton Oswalt, Parks and Recreation

GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Brie Larson, Community
Lucy Lawless, Parks and Recreation
Melissa Leo, Louie

TECHNICAL AWARDS
Hannibal will win everything except make-up, visual effects and costume, which will go to Game of Thrones.

TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
Behind the Candelabra will win everything except Actress in a Miniseries/TV Movie, which will go to Helen Mirren for Phil Spector.

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